Value picks
Upcoming matches where our own model and the sharp reference both read an outcome as more likely than the best price we currently hold implies. Every pick is re-checked against the newest prices we have, and one that no longer qualifies drops off this page. Kickoff times are UTC.
No value picks right now.A pick needs an upcoming match that has both our model probabilities and current bookmaker prices, and the leagues we cover are between seasons for part of the year.
We publish what a pick is — our probability, the sharp reference’s, the market’s implied probability and the price — and nothing about how picks have performed. No figure for returns appears anywhere on this site: that would need substantiation we do not have, and the signal itself is still being re-validated against live prices.
These are model output, not betting advice, and no outcome is certain. A price is the last one we captured and may have moved or be unavailable since.